Data Science · Quantitative Research · AI Engineering

Rishit
Belani

Turning complex data into useful decisions, from predictive modeling and quantitative research to production AI systems.

Columbia University · MS Data Science · Expected completion: December 2026

TIMELINE · 2019—PRESENT
Choose a milestone
From questionsTo better decisions

An illustrative journey, with milestones in chronological order, not to calendar scale. On mobile, swipe the line to explore.

01About

I’m a data scientist who cares about the full path from a question to a reliable decision: understanding the data, choosing the right baseline, validating the model, and making it usable.

My work spans three settings: execution analytics at FlexTrade, predictive credit-risk modeling at Ask2.ai, and critical-infrastructure software at Siemens. The problems differ, but each demands sound statistics, reliable systems, and measurable outcomes.

My current research at Columbia includes collaborations with BMLL on market microstructure and execution analytics, and with Man Group on AI-driven investment decisions and systematic factor exposures.

I’m completing an MS in Data Science at Columbia University and support graduate teaching in applied data science, data systems, and quantitative methods.

02Current Research

Ongoing · Oct 2026–Present

Columbia University × Research collaboration

Man Group

LLM Investment Biases & Factor Crowding

Quantitative research · AI in markets · Factor modeling

Studying whether investment decisions made by different AI models converge, and what that might mean for portfolios and markets.

  • Replicating and extending Artificial Intelligence, Alpha and the Architecture of Markets (Oxford-Man Institute / Man Group, 2026), examining decisions across 16 LLMs, investment mandates, and changing market information.
  • Built a Python/SQL research pipeline with WRDS Compustat North America and Global, integrating 100K+ equity observations with historical prices, FX, and fundamentals to construct Size, Value, Quality, Momentum, and Volatility factor exposures.
  • Developing an AI-consensus and factor-crowding framework to test portfolio similarity, shared exposures, and potential predictive signals, with out-of-sample validation planned.
CompustatPython / SQL16 LLMsFactor exposuresResearch design

Research is ongoing. No validated alpha, live trading performance, or completed replication result is claimed.

Ongoing · Oct 2026–Present

Columbia University × Research collaboration

BMLL

Market Microstructure & Execution Analytics

Quantitative research · Limit order books · Pre-trade TCA

Built an institutional-scale simulation and a corporate-action-aware data foundation for execution research.

  • Engineered a $10B simulated S&P 500-like portfolio over four years using WRDS/CRSP and Bloomberg data, generating 8,452 simulated orders across 17 quarterly rebalances, with holdings, cash, and NAV reconciliation.
  • Reconciled stock splits and dividends across vendors, increasing historical portfolio data coverage from 79–86% to 96.7–99.4% and validating order-level research outputs.
  • Now developing ML-based pre-trade cost models using BMLL intraday order-book data, with TWAP, VWAP, and closing-auction benchmarks evaluated by implementation shortfall, impact, and out-of-sample R², Pearson correlation, and rank IC.
CRSP / BloombergOrder-book dataExecution researchCorporate actions

The $10B figure refers to simulated portfolio capital, not assets managed or orders executed in live markets. Cost-model evaluation is in progress.

03Experience

Applied data science, from research to real systems.

FlexTrade Systems

Jun — Sep 2026 · New York

Quantitative Research Intern

  • Replaced an incumbent XGBoost approach in FlexTrade's FlexTCA execution-analytics workflow with an Almgren–Chriss–based pre- and post-trade cost model across intraday and multi-day horizons, delivering 80% faster inference at comparable accuracy.
  • Improved cost-forecast WinR² by 60% on high-cost tail executions with tail-lift model variants, validated by cross-validation on strictly pre-trade inputs to eliminate post-trade leakage.
  • Engineered a compliance RAG pipeline over 30K+ pages of buy-side documents (hierarchical parsing, hybrid BM25/vector retrieval, cross-encoder reranking), reaching 94% critical-issue recall and cutting first-pass review time by 80%.
  • Mentored undergraduate interns on order-fill probability modeling, guiding research design and validation.
Market impactAlmgren–ChrissTCARAG

Ask2.ai

Jan 2026 — Jun 2026 · New York

Quantitative Researcher

  • Developed a joint PD/LGD/EAD modeling framework using LSTM, XGBoost, MLP and Transformer models; achieved 0.96 ROC-AUC for default-risk discrimination and 21% fewer missed defaults at a fixed precision operating point in evaluation.
  • Prevented regime-driven model decay with a dual feature-selection pipeline: mutual-information scoring for predictive power plus a concept-drift index, removing 96% of candidate features that degraded out-of-cycle.
Credit riskPD / LGD / EADConcept drift

Siemens

Jul 2023 — May 2025 · Pune

Software Development Engineer

  • Built an LLM-assisted maintenance and incident-resolution system for critical smart-building environments, using historical incident logs and procedural manuals and reducing mean time to resolution by 30% across recurring faults.
  • Engineered a modular RAG architecture indexing 10K+ documents in a hybrid relational/vector store (retrieval P95 < 800 ms) while contributing to smart-building software for large-scale data-center and hospital deployments.
LLM systemsRetrievalProduction ML

The StreetStyle Store

Apr — Sep 2022 · India

Data Science Intern · E-commerce

  • Worked on customer churn prediction, customer segmentation, and retail-data processing to support e-commerce analytics and retention decisions.
  • Published a related customer lifetime value demonstration using dummy/sample retail data: estimated six-month purchase frequency with BG/NBD, purchase value with Gamma-Gamma, and customer segments.
Predictive customer analyticsCLTV / segmentationPython · Pandas
CLTV modeling notebook

The linked CLTV notebook uses dummy/sample data, not actual StreetStyle customer records; it is a separate demonstration, not evidence of production deployment or measured business lift.

04Client Impact

Measured results in the environments that use them.

From institutional trading to credit decisions and critical infrastructure. My role was in the modeling and systems work; organizational scale is context, not a claim about assets or revenue directly attributable to me.

Institutional trading & execution analytics

FlexTrade · 2026

2 institutional buy-side onboardings · Major sell-side brokerage clients

Replaced an incumbent execution-cost model with an Almgren–Chriss–based approach, improving inference speed by 80% at comparable predictive accuracy. Onboarded two institutional buy-side clients using the replacement model and contributed to FlexTCA products serving major sell-side brokers at the forefront of electronic execution.

Buy-side institutional scale, from public 2026 disclosures:
~$502B AUM (~$2.1B in specifically disclosed global, international and regional public-equity strategies)
$16B+ AUM (~$11.3B in reported U.S. long-equity Form 13F holdings).

Figures are for the two unnamed parent managers, not assets traded through the model. Equity figures are public partial-coverage proxies, not verified equity-trading AUM, execution volumes, or client mandate sizes; methodologies differ.

FlexTrade experience →

Earlier risk detection for credit teams

Ask2.ai · 2026

ROC-AUC 0.96 · 21% fewer missed defaults

Built default-risk models designed to help lenders and insurers prioritize borrowers for investigation and intervention. In evaluation, the model achieved 0.96 ROC-AUC, reflecting strong separation of likely defaulters from non-defaulters. At a fixed precision operating point, it reduced missed defaults by 21%, identifying more risky exposures without reducing the share of flagged cases that were true defaults.

ROC-AUC describes ranking quality across thresholds, not 96% accuracy, precision, or recall. Precision and recall depend on the selected alert threshold and class balance; these are model-evaluation results, not a claim of realized loan-loss savings.

Credit-risk experience →

Reliability in mission-critical infrastructure

Siemens · 2023–2025

Data centers · Hospital operations · 30% faster incident resolution

Worked on Siemens Smart Buildings software for Microsoft/OpenAI-associated data-center environments and the Inselspital hospital network. In settings where an incident can disrupt essential operations, the emphasis was reliable monitoring, engineering workflows, and faster diagnosis rather than AI demonstrations.

Developed incident-assistance and retrieval workflows over technical documentation, with a reported 30% reduction in mean resolution time for recurring fault scenarios and retrieval latency below 800 ms at P95.

These are project environments served through Siemens, not a claim of direct employment by the infrastructure operators or ownership of their full installations.

Siemens experience →

ONGOING RESEARCH

Potential Research Value

Potential applications for Man Group and BMLL only, not yet realized business outcomes or verified economic gains.

Man Group · AI-consensus and factor-crowding research

Ongoing · Columbia collaboration

Research into correlated decisions across 16 LLMs could help systematic investment teams identify emerging factor crowding, monitor portfolio convergence, and stress-test AI-generated allocations across mandates and information regimes. Potential benefits include more informed portfolio-diversification and risk-review decisions, subject to empirical validation.

Projected research utility only; no live trading, realized alpha, or financial benefit is claimed.

Man Group research →

BMLL · Intraday liquidity and execution-cost research

Ongoing · Columbia collaboration

Order-book-aware transaction-cost modeling could help research and execution teams compare TWAP, VWAP, and closing-auction strategies, quantify potential implementation shortfall, and refine pre-trade estimates when liquidity is thin or market impact is material.

Projected decision-support value only; costs saved, model accuracy, and production use have not yet been established.

BMLL research →

05Selected Work

Prediction, markets, and intelligent systems.

Four projects spanning quantitative modeling, interpretable prediction, and AI systems, with code and evaluation details where publicly available.

View:

Cross-Sectional Equity Alpha Research

2026 · Independent research

Quantitative research · Statistical ML · Python / LightGBM

+0.0131 mean walk-forward rank IC across 4,943 trading dates; 95% block-bootstrap CI [+0.0083, +0.0178].

  • Developed cross-sectional momentum and short-horizon reversal signals from daily equity OHLCV data, using lagged liquidity to select up to 1,000 eligible names per day and explicit checks against time-series leakage.
  • Compared an interpretable rank blend with conditioned Ridge and gradient boosting on matched out-of-sample dates. The boosted model improved raw rank IC from 0.0124 to 0.0173, but its tested portfolio gross Sharpe was lower (0.141 versus 0.566).
  • Investigated overnight-versus-intraday signal concentration, turnover, risk exposures, and execution-cost budgets, demonstrating why predictive accuracy is not the same as tradable alpha.
Cross-sectional signalsWalk-forward validationStatistical inferenceTransaction costs
Methodology & limitations

Used historical walk-forward tests, matched-model comparisons, and block-bootstrap confidence intervals. The source panel is not survivorship-safe and the research has no untouched holdout. Backtests are historical simulations, not live results; executable close/open costs and capacity remain unverified.

Multi-Agent Legal Reasoning with GraphRAG

Spring 2026

AI engineering · Model evaluation · Python

  • Built a four-agent system for CaseHOLD legal reasoning with a graph-based evidence retriever and a structured Plaintiff–Defense–Judge debate.
  • Reported a 16-percentage-point accuracy improvement over a vector-RAG baseline (p = 0.025); evaluated architectures using controlled ablations, paired bootstrap intervals, McNemar’s test, and retrieval-quality metrics.
  • Designed a Streamlit interface for inspecting agent reasoning and retrieved evidence, with tracking for token cost and latency.
GraphRAGLLM agentsStatistical testing
Code, architecture & evaluation

Churn Doctor: Explainable Customer Risk

End-to-end prototype

Data science · Applied ML · NLP

  • Developed a churn-scoring workflow using time-aware customer features, XGBoost, SHAP explanations, and automated business insights.
  • Combined structured purchase histories with NLP-based complaint classification in a Streamlit dashboard with natural-language business Q&A.
  • Evaluated on synthetic customer data; a system-design demonstration rather than evidence of real-world predictive lift.
ClassificationExplainabilityNLPProduct analytics
Explore implementation

Cross-Asset Trading Research Platform

Sep — Dec 2025

Quantitative data science · Backtesting · Streamlit

  • Co-developed an interactive strategy-research dashboard for FX, equities, commodities, and other instruments using dual-exponential-smoothing signals, historical market data, and position-aware backtesting.
  • Implemented cost-aware trade evaluation, parameter grid searches, performance diagnostics, and an ML signal module with engineered features, Random Forest, and optional SHAP analysis.
Time seriesTrading signalsBacktestingExplainable ML
View research dashboard code

06Teaching & Recognition

Graduate Teaching & Course Assistant, Columbia University

Sep 2025 — Present

Applied Data Science · Algorithmic Trading · Databases · Modern Data Structures

  • Wrote problem sets and led instruction on backtesting, execution strategy construction and market microstructure for a graduate Applied Data Science and Algorithmic Trading course, supporting 100+ students across a five-TA team.
  • Maintained related quantitative modeling notebooks exploring MLP, LSTM, and graph neural networks for cross-sectional equity ranking, walk-forward evaluation, and long/short research.
MLP / LSTM / GNN notebooks · GitHub

Related independent research shared in the context of my Algorithmic Trading teaching; the repository is not represented as official Columbia course material.

First Place, AI Adoption Strategy Case Competition

Apr 2026

Columbia University

  • Constructed a 24-month, multi-million-dollar AI roadmap and ROI model for a B2C e-commerce client.

07Education

Columbia University

MS Data Science · Aug 2025 — Dec 2026

Statistical Inference, Machine Learning, Applied Deep Learning, NLP, Generative AI with LLMs

Bharati Vidyapeeth University

B.Tech Computer Engineering · CGPA 9.2/10

Descriptive and Inferential Statistics, Machine Learning, Big Data Analytics, Data Structures and Algorithms

08Capabilities

Data Science

Predictive modeling, feature engineering, statistical inference, experiment design, model validation, explainability

Quantitative Research

Market impact & TCA, credit risk, time series, cross-sectional signals, backtesting

AI Engineering

RAG, GraphRAG, LangGraph, multi-agent systems, retrieval evaluation, LLM inference

Programming & ML

Python, SQL, C++, C#, PyTorch, XGBoost, scikit-learn, Pandas

Data Infrastructure

Airflow, Dagster, Snowflake, BigQuery, Databricks, AWS

Delivery

FastAPI, Docker, MLflow, Git, CI/CD

Contact

Let's talk.
rb3881@columbia.edu